Will Gold (GC) hit a new high by the end of June? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 32 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
(LOW) $5,000 by end of June	2025-12-30	100.0%	—	$3.1K	A	`0xd09d43…a51d`
(LOW) $4,800 by end of June	2025-12-30	100.0%	—	$3.1K	A	`0x9e404c…9ddf`
(LOW) $4,600 by end of June	2025-12-30	100.0%	—	$3.2K	A	`0x266c84…04e5`
(LOW) $4,400 by end of June	2025-12-30	100.0%	—	$1.8K	A	`0x722dd7…0688`
(HIGH) $5,000 by end of June	2026-01-27	99.9%	—	$42K	A	`0x930aa5…7c26`
(LOW) $4,700 by end of June	2026-04-28	—	—	$78K	A	`0xcbc9cc…ece8`
(LOW) $4,600 by end of June	2026-04-30	99.5%	—	$45K	A	`0x23f58c…c012`
(LOW) $4,600 by end of June	2026-05-16	99.9%	—	$4.7K	A	`0x36c37f…09cb`
(LOW) $4,500 by end of June	2026-05-28	99.9%	—	$62K	A	`0x84f92f…e555`
(LOW) $4,400 by end of June	2026-06-06	99.9%	—	$54K	A	`0x9873e4…1642`
(LOW) $4,300 by end of June	2026-06-10	99.9%	—	$134K	A	`0x29a63e…b76c`
(LOW) $4,200 by end of June	2026-06-11	99.9%	—	$422K	A	`0x8cf61b…0a9f`
(HIGH) $8,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$12K	$428K	A	`0xa5e7d1…dd80`
(HIGH) $7,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$2.3K	$636K	A	`0x8a62a7…d956`
(HIGH) $6,500 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$34	$318K	A	`0xb57990…b8a3`
(HIGH) $6,200 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$637	$139K	A	`0x41321c…4b38`
(HIGH) $6,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$4.3K	$386K	A	`0x1eedfd…4232`
(HIGH) $5,500 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$4.7K	$1.34M	A	`0x246559…e96f`
(LOW) $3,800 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$7.4K	$174K	A	`0x1680cb…86ca`
(LOW) $3,400 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$1.2K	$420K	A	`0xf412c9…1892`
(HIGH) $5,700 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$205	$116K	A	`0xf5815c…91bd`
(HIGH) $8,500 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$3.7K	$440K	A	`0x8a5a60…5810`
(HIGH) $9,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$2.9K	$156K	A	`0x7abd4c…206f`
(HIGH) $10,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$5.2K	$393K	A	`0xa12b90…6471`
(HIGH) $4,900 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$4.4K	$85K	A	`0x1f4782…eece`
(HIGH) $5,100 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$87	$47K	A	`0x39a275…c467`
(HIGH) $5,200 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$1	$31K	A	`0x533e92…1ad1`
(HIGH) $5,000 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$1.3K	$95K	A	`0x6dd1f0…5341`
(HIGH) $5,300 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$2.8K	$92K	A	`0x2bb509…bd5f`
(HIGH) $5,400 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$692	$59K	A	`0x7a280f…dfe5`
(HIGH) $4,800 by end of June	2026-06-30	0.0%	$6.1K	$44K	A	`0x175764…0493`
(HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)	2026-06-30	0.0%	$24	$46	A	`0xd5742a…c9d0`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 32 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

platform source field polymarket.resolution_source → "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html"

sources (7) · single authority

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html venue-listed
CME Group website from rules text · editorial
CME Group source of record from rules text · editorial
CME's designated delivery-cycle months from rules text · editorial
CME's methodology from rules text · editorial
CME settlement page from rules text · editorial
CME Group website from rules text · editorial

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
NO	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)	polymarket	`2026-06-30`	`0%`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-11`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-10`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-06-06`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-05-28`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-05-16`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-04-30`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-04-28`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2026-01-27`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	polymarket	`2025-12-30`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	polymarket	`2025-12-30`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,800 by end of June?	polymarket	`2025-12-30`	`—`
closed	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of June?	polymarket	`2025-12-30`	`—`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (32 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gc-hit-jun-2026/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gc-hit-jun-2026`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("gc-hit-jun-2026")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DBN129RV81",
  "slug": "gc-hit-jun-2026",
  "question": "Will Gold (GC) hit a new high by the end of June?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "commodities",
    "gold-futures",
    "price-threshold",
    "short-term-forecast",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 32,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6246584,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html",
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "CME Group",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME Group website",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME Group",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME's designated delivery-cycle months",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME's methodology",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME settlement page",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CME Group website",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →