Gold settle price, June 30, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4,600 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $765 | $12K | A | 0x416879…c21c | ||
| ≥ $4,800 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $50 | $12K | A | 0x3ce540…68a6 | ||
| ≥ $5,000 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $5 | $4.5K | A | 0xd38b5f…51ff | ||
| ≥ $5,200 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $6.5K | A | 0x166907…e844 | ||
| ≥ $5,400 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $12 | $5.7K | A | 0xcca5b9…1f0d | ||
| ≥ $5,600 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $20 | $11K | A | 0xc6e306…fbc2 | ||
| ≥ $5,800 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $15 | $13K | A | 0xf3304b…e190 | ||
| ≥ $6,000 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $19 | $7.6K | A | 0xcc828f…ff98 | ||
| ≥ $6,200 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $11K | A | 0xbf58ff…15b3 | ||
| ≥ $6,500 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $122 | $3.2K | A | 0x89ca73…2fb2 | ||
| ≥ $7,000 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $28K | A | 0x21ba1d…37eb | ||
| ≥ $8,000 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $3.5K | A | 0x17e3a5…57de |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
platform source field
polymarket.resolution_source → "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html" sources (3) · single authority
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html venue-listed
- CME Group website from rules text · editorial
- CME Group source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (12 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gc-over-under-jun-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gc-over-under-jun-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("gc-over-under-jun-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8FX64LHXZ0",
"slug": "gc-over-under-jun-2026",
"question": "Gold settle price, June 30, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"commodities",
"finance",
"gold-futures",
"price-threshold",
"june-2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 117471,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html",
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CME Group",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CME Group website",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CME Group",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}