Arizona Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-02 (151D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | US State Governments | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "US State Governments" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
US State Governments committed source
recent wire items
- Arizona governor race stays heavily favored for one side Kalshi 89%
- The Kalshi contract on the Arizona Governor winner sits at 89%, a strong lean toward one candidate.
- Trading volume on this contract surged 5,387x day-over-day, signaling intense fresh market attention as UNGA week coincides with midterm campaign focus.
- Washington Post analysis notes competitive midterm dynamics and falling Trump approval, yet the Arizona governor market shows a heavily skewed outcome.
- Resolves via US State Governments official certification; the margin of the pricing implies this race is not considered competitive by the market.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/govpartyaz-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/govpartyaz-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("govpartyaz-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1CZBBW0SJ9",
"slug": "govpartyaz-26",
"question": "Arizona Governor winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"arizona-governor",
"us-elections-2026",
"political-race",
"state-executive",
"2026-midterm"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 247675,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "US State Governments",
"url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}