CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Georgia Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-14 (163D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Democratic 2027-01-14 58.0%
$442 $129K
A GOVPARTYGA-26-D
Republican 2027-01-14 41.0%
$3.4K $103K
A GOVPARTYGA-26-R
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff US State Governments link Kalshi Staff Other —
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Georgia pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "US State Governments" ↗
sources (1) · single authority
US State Governments committed source
recent wire items
  • 2026-10-15T13:03:58+00:00 volume-spike
    Georgia governor race pulls back to even as volume builds 48% · $151K 24h
    • Democrats priced at 48%, essentially a toss-up, with neither party holding a clear edge.
    • $151.4K in 24h volume is 33% of all-time, marking the contract's busiest single session.
    • Fresh attention at near-parity odds suggests a recent poll, candidate event, or fundraising disclosure shifted trader focus.
    • Resolves on 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election result.
  • 2026-10-15T07:48:38+00:00 volume-spike
    Georgia governor race stays a toss-up under heavy trading 47% · $137K 24h
    • At 47%, Kalshi traders see the Democratic candidate as a narrow underdog in the Georgia governor race.
    • $137K traded in 24h, 32% of all-time volume, marks a major liquidity event for this contract.
    • October surge likely tracks early-vote data, poll drops, or candidate news tightening the outlook.
    • Contract resolves on Georgia governor election result.
  • 2026-09-24T13:08:49+00:00 volume-spike
    Democrats hold a narrow 54% edge in Georgia governor race 54% · $100K 24h
    • 54% odds place Democrats as slim favorites for the Georgia governorship, near a coin flip.
    • $100K in 24h equals 36% of all-time Kalshi volume, a rare single-session concentration.
    • Near-50% pricing with surging volume suggests the race is competitively contested and attracting fresh capital.
    • Resolves on Georgia gubernatorial election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/govpartyga-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/govpartyga-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("govpartyga-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RHX55RJPT1",
  "slug": "govpartyga-26",
  "question": "Georgia Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "georgia",
    "gubernatorial-election",
    "2027",
    "state-executive"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 231505,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "US State Governments",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "US State Governments",
      "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →