Kansas Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-14 (163D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | US State Governments | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "US State Governments" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
US State Governments committed source
recent wire items
- Betting piles into Kansas governor going Democratic 98% · $1.3M 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic Kansas governorship win at 98%, essentially settled.
- $1.3M represents 65% of all-time handle arriving on Election Day.
- Kansas governorship flipping Democratic would be a major upset; a 98% price implies results are already in view.
- Resolves on certified Kansas gubernatorial result.
- Buyers back Democrats in a rare Kansas governor race 92% · $1.1M 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic Kansas governor win at 92%, a striking result in a traditionally red state.
- 64% of all-time volume in 24h signals a sharp increase in market attention near resolution.
- Kansas governorship has history of Democratic wins; 92% odds confirm the pattern is holding in 2026.
- Resolves on certified Kansas 2026 gubernatorial outcome.
- Democratic Kansas governor bid draws buyers at 36% 36% · $164K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic Kansas governorship win at 36%, an underdog but not a long shot.
- 70% of all-time volume arrived in 24 hours, the highest all-time share of any spike in this batch.
- Kansas has trended competitive in statewide races; 36% on Election Day implies live contest status.
- Resolves on certified Kansas gubernatorial results.
- Democrats face uphill odds in the Kansas governor race 34% · $29K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democrats at 34%, an underdog position but above the 25% threshold, indicating a live contest.
- $28.9K in 24h is 43% of all-time volume, the race is attracting fresh attention close to election day.
- Kansas has historically elected Democratic governors despite Republican presidential dominance; market reflects that structural nuance.
- Resolves on Kansas governor election result.
- Kansas governor bet stays tilted Republican at 73% 73% · $13K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Republican Kansas governorship win at 73%, a solid but not overwhelming favorite.
- 24h volume of $13K is 28% of all-time handle, indicating concentrated renewed interest in the race.
- Spike may reflect a primary outcome, candidate shift, or spillover attention from the concurrent Kansas Senate contract.
- Resolves YES if the Republican candidate wins the Kansas gubernatorial general election.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/govpartyks-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/govpartyks-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("govpartyks-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-53XSJLYKW7",
"slug": "govpartyks-27",
"question": "Kansas Governor winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-gubernatorial-election",
"kansas-politics",
"2028-election",
"us-state-politics",
"democratic-vs-republican"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10178,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 96,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "US State Governments",
"url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}