CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Pennsylvania Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-17 (166D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Democratic 2027-01-17 92.5%
$8.0K $22K
A GOVPARTYPA-26-D
Republican 2027-01-17 8.3%
$68 $5.7K
A GOVPARTYPA-26-R
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff US State Governments link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Pennsylvania pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "US State Governments"
sources (1) · single authority
US State Governments committed source
recent wire items
  • 2026-08-27T18:47:16+00:00 volume-spike
    Pennsylvania governor odds hold for Democrats on fresh volume 95% · $29K 24h
    • Kalshi prices 95%, market strongly favors Democrats retaining the Pennsylvania governorship in 2026.
    • 24h volume of $29K represents 31% of all-time, a notable single-day acceleration.
    • Fresh activity likely tied to candidate field developments or early polling out of Pennsylvania.
    • Race resolves on 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/govpartypa-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/govpartypa-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("govpartypa-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-05XLLSTC09",
  "slug": "govpartypa-26",
  "question": "Pennsylvania Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "pennsylvania-governor",
    "2027-election",
    "us-politics",
    "state-executive",
    "partisan-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 28088,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "US State Governments",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "US State Governments",
      "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →