Will GPU rental prices for B200 hit a specific target price in 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-12 ]
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $6.5 | 2026-07-12 | 99.9% | — | $8.6K | B | 0x841405…9f47 | ||
| ≥ $7 | 2026-07-16 | 99.0% | — | $1.6K | B | 0x1e4d37…cfbf | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-12-31 | 5.1% | — | $250 | B | 0x346a36…dd78 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-12-31 | 29.0% | — | $824 | B | 0x9e737e…f6ba | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-12-31 | 61.0% | $312 | $4.2K | B | 0x4214bf…b6e9 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2026-12-31 | 89.0% | — | $534 | B | 0xe8c226…601b | ||
| ≥ $5.5 | 2026-12-31 | 90.3% | — | $296 | B | 0xa5642e…db00 | ||
| ≥ $7.5 | 2026-12-31 | 71.1% | $30 | $5.3K | B | 0x56a4b0…6798 | ||
| ≥ $8 | 2026-12-31 | 37.0% | $61 | $1.7K | B | 0x795946…1084 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
platform source field
polymarket.description → Ornnai.com sources (4) · single authority
- dashboard.ornnai.com venue-listed
- ornnai.com venue-listed
- Ornnai.com (ornnai.com) from rules text · editorial
- https://dashboard.ornnai.com from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7019SMPML8",
"slug": "gpu-rental-prices-b200-hit-in-2026-20260709171530825",
"question": "Will GPU rental prices for B200 hit a specific target price in 2026?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"gpu-hardware",
"pricing",
"cloud-infrastructure",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23329,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 65,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "Ornnai.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
"url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ornnai.com",
"url": "Ornnai.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}