Will GPU rental prices for H100s be below $2 per hour by the end of July? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between $2.60 and $2.90 | 2026-07-31 | 43.0% | $1.5K | $8.4K | C | 0x69af0f…1414 | ||
| Between $2.90 and $3.20 | 2026-07-31 | 22.2% | $284 | $11K | C | 0x97cde3…b556 | ||
| Between $2.30 and $2.60 | 2026-07-31 | 22.0% | $430 | $13K | C | 0x0d7c49…157e | ||
| Between $3.20 and $3.50 | 2026-07-31 | 4.4% | $222 | $3.7K | C | 0xab86f9…7c3e | ||
| Between $2.00 and $2.30 | 2026-07-31 | 1.2% | $211 | $6.6K | C | 0xa20514…9cbd | ||
| ≤ $2 | 2026-07-31 | 0.9% | $267 | $3.5K | C | 0xd5cc33…062e | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-07-31 | 1.3% | $276 | $3.1K | C | 0x91f837…ee2a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for July 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
platform source field
polymarket.description → Ornnai.com sources (3) · single authority
- dashboard.ornnai.com venue-listed
- ornnai.com source of record venue-listed
- https://dashboard.ornnai.com from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WPCMHTJ2Z6",
"slug": "gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-july-20260626214740664",
"question": "Will GPU rental prices for H100s be below $2 per hour by the end of July?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"gpu-pricing",
"h100",
"cloud-infrastructure",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 49277,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "Ornnai.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
"url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ornnai.com",
"url": "Ornnai.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}