CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on PlayStation 5 at a price of $69.99 or less? [ resolves 2026-11-19 (119D) ]

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?

polymarket: [B] reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $60 2026-11-19 96.9%
$4.7K
B 0x7b1c1c…f809
≥ $70 2026-11-19 97.2%
$31K
B 0x0d6aec…cf42
≥ $80 2026-11-19 6.4%
$28K
B 0x9f6499…cdef
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered. If the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch. If GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/
sources (2) · stated precedence rule
  • playstation.com venue-listed
  • PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
  "slug": "gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119",
  "question": "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on PlayStation 5 at a price of $69.99 or less?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "pop-culture",
    "video-game-pricing",
    "gta-vi",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 63934,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 76,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "PlayStation US online store",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "playstation.com",
      "url": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →