Mt. Washington highest recorded wind speed, July 2026 [ resolved 2026-07-31 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | $6 | $1.7K | A | 0x1a2a79…505a | ||
| 90 | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | — | $13K | A | 0x612595…517d | ||
| 95 | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | $2 | $20K | A | 0x840e22…df0c | ||
| 100 | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | $100 | $13K | A | 0xcd7f63…a893 | ||
| 105 | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | $238 | $4.3K | A | 0xa55abb…99b1 | ||
| 110 | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $3.3K | A | 0xcea712…4cd9 | ||
| 115 | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | $121 | $2.9K | A | 0x055c7d…0c1c |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/ sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 110 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 0% |
| YES | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 100% |
| YES | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 100% |
| YES | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 100% |
| YES | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 100% |
| NO | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph? | polymarket | 2026-08-02 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (7 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-july-20260626193609212/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-july-20260626193609212 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-july-20260626193609212") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-B75NJ3YK41",
"slug": "highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-july-20260626193609212",
"question": "Mt. Washington highest recorded wind speed, July 2026",
"category": "climate",
"tags": [
"climate",
"weather-extremes",
"mt-washington",
"wind-speed",
"monthly-maximum",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 58374,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Mt. Washington Weather Observatory",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "mountwashington.org",
"url": "https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Mt. Washington Weather Observatory",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}