Will Waymo operate in 5 or more cities by June 30? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 5 | 2026-06-30 | 1.5% | $10 | $43K | C | 0x310ce0…2ba4 | ||
| ≥ 6 | 2026-06-30 | 7.4% | $45 | $22K | C | 0x7466ec…d066 | ||
| ≥ 7 | 2026-06-30 | 23.8% | $25 | $15K | C | 0x5ea3e4…0327 | ||
| ≥ 8 | 2026-06-30 | 6.1% | $10 | $15K | C | 0xc6aa05…d84b | ||
| ≥ 9 | 2026-06-30 | 3.6% | $20 | $18K | C | 0xde176c…9149 | ||
| ≥ 10 | 2026-06-30 | 31.1% | $26 | $15K | C | 0xfde12c…9f48 | ||
| ≥ 11 | 2026-06-30 | 22.0% | $17 | $23K | C | 0xdcbb85…6dc6 | ||
| ≥ 12 | 2026-06-30 | 0.7% | $21 | $25K | C | 0x6a7b94…3697 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://waymo.com/rides/ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6L82G7DC20",
"slug": "how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026",
"question": "Will Waymo operate in 5 or more cities by June 30?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"tech",
"autonomous-vehicles",
"waymo",
"operational-expansion"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 176325,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://waymo.com/rides/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}