How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 cities or less | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $291 | $43K | C | 0x310ce0…2ba4 | ||
| 6 cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $8 | $22K | C | 0x7466ec…d066 | ||
| 7 cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $13 | $15K | C | 0x5ea3e4…0327 | ||
| 8 cities | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $16K | C | 0xc6aa05…d84b | ||
| 9 cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $19K | C | 0xde176c…9149 | ||
| 10 cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $20 | $15K | C | 0xfde12c…9f48 | ||
| 11 cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $24 | $24K | C | 0xdcbb85…6dc6 | ||
| 12 or more cities | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $51 | $25K | C | 0x6a7b94…3697 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://waymo.com/rides/ sources (3)
- waymo.com venue-listed
- official information from Waymo from rules text · editorial
- https://waymo.com/rides/ from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6L82G7DC20",
"slug": "how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-june-30-2026",
"question": "How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"tech",
"autonomous-vehicles",
"waymo",
"operational-expansion"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 178264,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://waymo.com/rides/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "waymo.com",
"url": "https://waymo.com/rides/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official information from Waymo",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://waymo.com/rides/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}