CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will at least X coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100 by market capitalization by December 31, 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 4 2027-01-01 71.0%
$27K
C 0xc8bc89…a474
≥ 6 2027-01-01 8.0%
$34K
C 0x022a45…2e70
≥ 8 2027-01-01 56.0%
$1.7K
C 0x4cd2ef…3000
≥ 10 2027-01-01 54.0%
$28K
C 0xf86418…7f6d
≥ 12 2027-01-01 18.0%
$2.5K
C 0x901511…b41d
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers Coingecko not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 5 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
platform source field polymarket.description → "Coingecko"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYHMPBSFD9",
  "slug": "how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100",
  "question": "Will at least X coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100 by market capitalization by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "market-cap-ranking",
    "coin-launches",
    "2026-cohort",
    "year-end-performance"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 92611,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 38,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Coingecko",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.coingecko.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →