Will there be IPOs before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Discord IPO before 2027?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 34 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealthfront IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 100.0% | — | $23K | C | 0x21c134…f027 | ||
| Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $215K | C | 0xfc5524…05eb | ||
| Cerebras IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $428K | C | 0xdb4d39…9025 | ||
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 98.6% | $4.2K | $634K | C | 0xc8a898…4c0b | ||
| Anthropic IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 84.0% | $5.2K | $292K | C | 0x652202…a303 | ||
| OpenAI IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 75.0% | $3.8K | $279K | C | 0x7844ad…5af3 | ||
| Discord IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 59.4% | $23 | $453K | C | 0x48fcbf…f36a | ||
| Remote IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 21.0% | — | $55K | C | 0xf9bca7…1c3d | ||
| WHOOP IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | — | $293 | C | 0x56ff1e…d1e6 | ||
| SHEIN IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.2% | $1 | $79K | C | 0xd6487f…4eb7 | ||
| Rippling IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | — | $118K | C | 0x52bf4b…df6f | ||
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $130 | $149K | C | 0x579100…ff29 | ||
| Databricks IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $410 | $471K | C | 0xfa0166…4776 | ||
| Glean IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | $280 | $46K | C | 0x65e6bb…bd90 | ||
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | $1 | $197K | C | 0x76d92e…e3a9 | ||
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | — | $245K | C | 0xc45eb8…029b | ||
| Revolut IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | $296 | $57K | C | 0xad60a9…c69a | ||
| Epic Games IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 13.7% | — | $75K | C | 0x425b8f…e20b | ||
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 13.0% | — | $146K | C | 0x898dad…a9f7 | ||
| Vanta IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 13.0% | $370 | $132K | C | 0xa11a18…b8c6 | ||
| Celonis IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | — | $208K | C | 0x48d4ae…66fe | ||
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | — | $162K | C | 0xb4eafb…3172 | ||
| Ramp IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | $60 | $144K | C | 0x9dd67d…a38f | ||
| Anduril IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | — | $352K | C | 0xb7a72d…3566 | ||
| Ledger IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | $37 | $511K | C | 0x8f1a5e…eed0 | ||
| Canva IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $37K | C | 0xfbf56e…6e48 | ||
| Stripe IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $6 | $253K | C | 0x3189b7…4c83 | ||
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $34K | C | 0xce76a9…92cb | ||
| Deel IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $125K | C | 0xd21614…f2a9 | ||
| Waymo IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 5.2% | — | $52K | C | 0xd66c74…a836 | ||
| ByteDance IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | — | $12K | C | 0x764a4d…d33c | ||
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 3.8% | — | $98K | C | 0x8f3d3d…1934 | ||
| Brex IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 1.6% | — | $218K | C | 0x62ef6c…a02d | ||
| xAI IPO before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 1.4% | — | $123K | C | 0x570b4a…57a2 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ipos-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ipos-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ipos-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HGNDB105Y6",
"slug": "ipos-before-2027",
"question": "Will there be IPOs before 2027?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"business",
"tech",
"finance",
"ipo",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 34,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6424083,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 49,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}