CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2026-12 ]

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026 2026-06-30 1.3%
$76K $2.40M
C 0x96cd1b…a3fd
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026 2026-12-31 8.0%
$456K
C 0x1fab35…410f
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 2 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZZB2746L52",
  "slug": "israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by",
  "question": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "israel-indonesia",
    "diplomatic-relations",
    "middle-east-southeast-asia",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 2857581,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 59,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →