Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? [ resolves 2025-10 – 2026-07 ]
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31 | 2025-10-31 | 100.0% | — | $33K | C | 0x538528…bbe0 | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31 | 2025-12-31 | 100.0% | — | $50K | C | 0x6b81f8…dd20 | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31 | 2025-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $719K | C | 0xd03fe9…f66e | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by February 28 | 2026-02-28 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 1280207 | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31 | 2026-05-31 | 0.1% | — | $103K | C | 0x232ae0…059f | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15 | 2026-06-15 | 17.0% | $1.6K | $8.0K | C | 0xdbdcd6…e2d7 | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 46.0% | $4.6K | $293K | C | 0x3f0bc2…1ff8 | ||
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31 | 2026-07-31 | 72.0% | $2.5K | $13K | C | 0xac1721…6021 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-W69HG9C9G4",
"slug": "israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31",
"question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"israel",
"parliament-dissolution",
"knesset",
"government-formation",
"2025"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1219659,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}