CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31 2026-12-31 43.0%
$34 $131K
C 0xbb1e75…8463
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30 2026-12-31 0.1%
$287K
C 0x55c601…f385
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers Federal Reserve (consensus fallback) not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 2 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
platform source field polymarket.resolution_source → "Federal Reserve (consensus fallback)"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J8T6DYCJB3",
  "slug": "jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by",
  "question": "Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed-chair",
    "trump-administration",
    "fed-board",
    "political-removal",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 417119,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 54,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Federal Reserve (consensus fallback)",
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →