Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at a market capitalization of $1 trillion or more by the settlement date? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-12 ]
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.
This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
- another reliable source from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
"slug": "jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893",
"question": "Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at a market capitalization of $1 trillion or more by the settlement date?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"finance",
"stock-market",
"market-cap",
"jpm"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12885,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "another reliable source",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}