CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Kansas Democratic Senate Primary be won by the date of the primary election? [ resolved 2026-08-04 ]

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 20 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Adam Hamilton 2026-08-04 100.0%
$2.7K $23K
C 0xbe08ec…323f
Sandy Spidel Neumann 2026-08-04 0.0%
$151 $37K
C 0x7746b1…db24
Christy Davis 2026-08-04 0.0%
$138 $39K
C 0x23138f…28e8
Michael Soetaert 2026-08-04 0.0%
$4.3K
C 0x055f6d…8988
Anne Parelkar 2026-08-04 0.0%
$20K
C 0x571b1b…fe01
Sharice Davids 2026-08-04 0.0%
$149 $6.1K
C 0xde0722…5ee1
Patrick Schmidt 2026-08-04 0.0%
$94 $23K
C 0xedd9fa…5fb2
Damon Anderson 2026-08-04 0.0%
$76 $1.9K
C 0x6a59e5…57ac
Jason Hart 2026-08-04 0.0%
$149 $2.6K
C 0xa2e087…0047
Kevin Latz 2026-08-04 0.0%
$91 $2.2K
C 0x1f5948…4403
Erik Murray 2026-08-04 0.0%
$149 $2.3K
C 0x60bfff…aeaa
Noah Taylor 2026-08-04 0.0%
$61 $2.3K
C 0xb1491e…adcc
Candidate I 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0xfa754c…7cdb
Candidate J 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0x58f98a…6928
Candidate K 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0xc13cb9…eb69
Candidate L 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0x1e91ab…b40d
Candidate M 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0xf439b1…9ea4
Candidate N 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0xa8ecb6…5c02
Candidate O 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0x8100c8…c234
Another candidate 2026-08-04 0.0%
C 0x26621d…c819
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 20 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
the Kansas Democratic party from rules text an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will Jason Hart be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Kevin Latz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
YES Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 100%
NO Will Damon Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
NO Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? polymarket 2026-08-05 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (12 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G6QSZJ9ZC2",
  "slug": "kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Kansas Democratic Senate Primary be won by the date of the primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-senate",
    "primary-elections",
    "kansas",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 20,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 162706,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 59,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the Kansas Democratic party",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →