Will a Democrat win the Kansas Governor Democratic Primary? [ resolved 2026-08-04 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cindy Holscher | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | $126 | $10K | A | 0x8bb083…bda6 | ||
| Ethan Corson | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | $225 | $8.9K | A | 0xb83df8…ed4d | ||
| Marty Tuley | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $50K | A | 0x068bb9…fc91 | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5a760e…c27e | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x33997e…7398 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x095815…c08d | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1bf1a8…7d0a | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1ae4ef…ac72 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x856d95…9d92 | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3c96ab…91fd | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8168bc…cd92 | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xade984…241f | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x50269c…8e90 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x6a2bc7…18ed | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x98a879…c0a6 | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x9afbdd…0002 | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe7898a…9951 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x381b1c…58e7 | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x80ba58…e818 | ||
| Candidate P | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb57de0…3ad3 | ||
| Candidate Q | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x23da47…b83a | ||
| Candidate R | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x00fb43…f4ef | ||
| Candidate S | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x412351…6d03 | ||
| Candidate T | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xfec449…1030 | ||
| Candidate U | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x586ec3…31ab | ||
| Candidate V | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8353e7…dd93 | ||
| Candidate W | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf95fb1…6249 | ||
| Candidate X | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4af269…47fc | ||
| Candidate Y | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x9d19b2…21c5 | ||
| Candidate Z | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xd7b0d4…7791 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
Kansas Democratic Party committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
| YES | Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 100% |
| NO | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Heavy trading backs Holscher as the Kansas Dem governor pick 91% · $16K 24h
- At 91%, Polymarket prices Holscher as the strong frontrunner in the Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary.
- 24h volume of $15.7K is 41% of all-time, notable concentration for a state-level down-ballot contract.
- Elevated attention on a Kansas Democratic primary may reflect national party strategists tracking pickup opportunities.
- Resolves on the certified Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary outcome.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kansas-governor-democratic-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kansas-governor-democratic-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kansas-governor-democratic-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2F4PBBH7S6",
"slug": "kansas-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Democrat win the Kansas Governor Democratic Primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"kansas",
"democratic-primary",
"governor-race",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 69065,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Kansas Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Kansas Democratic Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}