Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (577D) ]
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 35 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 88.0% | $3 | $31K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-GNEW | ||
| Pete Buttigieg · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 84.0% | $1 | $6.7K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT | ||
| Andy Beshear · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 79.0% | — | $4.5K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-ABES | ||
| Rahm Emanuel · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 79.0% | $10 | $13K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-REMA | ||
| J.B. Pritzker · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 76.0% | — | $5.7K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JPRI | ||
| Josh Shapiro · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 75.0% | $191 | $5.3K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JSHA | ||
| Chris Murphy · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 72.0% | — | $885 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-CMUR | ||
| Cory Booker · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 69.0% | — | $4.5K | A | KX2028DRUN-2…OOK | ||
| Ro Khanna · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 68.0% | $1 | $14K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-RKHA | ||
| Mark Kelly · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 66.0% | $1 | $11K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-MKEL | ||
| Kamala Harris · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 62.0% | $177 | $56K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR | ||
| Mitch Landrieu · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 61.0% | — | $88 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN | ||
| Wes Moore · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 56.0% | — | $31K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-WMOO | ||
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 55.0% | $15 | $41K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-AOC | ||
| Ruben Gallego · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 51.0% | — | $13K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-RGAL | ||
| Jared Polis · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 48.0% | $16 | $2.3K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JPOL | ||
| Elissa Slotkin · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 44.0% | — | $3.6K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-ESLO | ||
| Jon Ossoff · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 44.0% | $192 | $5.5K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JOSS | ||
| Raphael Warnock · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 35.0% | — | $1.4K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-RWAR | ||
| Abigail Spanberger · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 33.0% | $7 | $4.4K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA | ||
| Phil Murphy · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 29.0% | — | $453 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-PMUR | ||
| Chris Van Hollen · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 29.0% | — | $705 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-CHOL | ||
| Gretchen Whitmer · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 23.0% | $186 | $7.3K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-GWHI | ||
| Roy Cooper · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-RCOO | ||
| John Fetterman · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $669 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JFET | ||
| Stephen A. Smith · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $5.9K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-SAS | ||
| Mark Cuban · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 21.0% | $9 | $2.5K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-MCUB | ||
| Dean Phillips · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-DPHI | ||
| Mikie Sherrill · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 19.0% | — | $171 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-MSHE | ||
| Hunter Biden · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-HBID | ||
| Jon Stewart · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 12.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-JSTE | ||
| Michelle Obama · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 9.9% | — | $741 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-MOBA | ||
| Tim Walz · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $2.3K | A | KX2028DRUN-28-TWAL | ||
| Barack Obama · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 5.0% | — | $30 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-BOBA | ||
| Hillary Clinton · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 2028-01-01 | 2.1% | — | $28 | A | KX2028DRUN-28-HCLI |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kx2028drun-28/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kx2028drun-28.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kx2028drun-28") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
"slug": "kx2028drun-28",
"question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"presidential-election-2028",
"democratic-party",
"candidate-announcement",
"political-nominations"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 35,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 281771,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}