CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]

Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring Donald J. Trump's likeness becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring… 2027-01-01 9.2%
$658 $31K
A KX250DOLLARB…N01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff White House not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 1 market · share this text
If bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring Donald J. Trump's likeness becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. || Additional Info ||
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "White House"
sources (2) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kx250dollarbill-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kx250dollarbill-27
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kx250dollarbill-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BY0MCZ9DJ6",
  "slug": "kx250dollarbill-27",
  "question": "Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-currency",
    "trump",
    "legislative-action",
    "2027",
    "executive-power"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 31134,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "White House",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "White House",
      "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Library of Congress",
      "url": "https://congress.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →