AAA average gas price, August 5, 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-12 (8D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 17 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4.05 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $22K | $22K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…050 | ||
| ≥ $4.05 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $19K | $19K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…055 | ||
| ≥ $4.06 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $13K | $13K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…060 | ||
| ≥ $4.07 | 2026-08-12 | 97.0% | $7.3K | $7.3K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…065 | ||
| ≥ $4.07 | 2026-08-12 | 88.0% | $8.3K | $8.3K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…070 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-08-12 | 63.0% | $4.0K | $4.0K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…075 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-08-12 | 18.0% | $2.7K | $2.7K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…080 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-08-12 | 5.0% | $501 | $501 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…085 | ||
| ≥ $4.09 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $125 | $125 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…090 | ||
| ≥ $4.09 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $25 | $25 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…095 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $39 | $39 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…100 | ||
| ≥ $4.11 | 2026-08-12 | 4.0% | $48 | $48 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…110 | ||
| ≥ $4.11 | 2026-08-12 | 2.0% | $24 | $24 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…105 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-08-12 | 4.0% | $40 | $40 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…115 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $12 | $12 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…120 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $15 | $15 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…125 | ||
| ≥ $4.13 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | $10 | $10 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…130 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.050 on Aug 5, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasd-26aug05/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasd-26aug05 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasd-26aug05") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YGGVXTFBX7",
"slug": "kxaaagasd-26aug05",
"question": "AAA average gas price, August 5, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"energy-commodities",
"short-term-prediction",
"daily-forecast",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 17,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 77995,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}