Average **gas prices** [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 17 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4.05 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $495 | $495 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…050 | ||
| ≥ $4.05 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $21 | $21 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…055 | ||
| ≥ $4.06 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $21 | $21 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…060 | ||
| ≥ $4.07 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $2 | $2 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…065 | ||
| ≥ $4.07 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…070 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…075 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…080 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | $11 | $11 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…085 | ||
| ≥ $4.09 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $264 | $264 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…090 | ||
| ≥ $4.09 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $2.1K | $2.1K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…095 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-07-31 | 87.0% | $19K | $19K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…100 | ||
| ≥ $4.11 | 2026-07-31 | 53.0% | $2.4K | $2.5K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…105 | ||
| ≥ $4.11 | 2026-07-31 | 28.0% | $2.3K | $2.3K | A | KXAAAGASD-26…110 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-07-31 | 9.0% | $963 | $996 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…115 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-07-31 | 7.0% | $723 | $723 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…120 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | $96 | $96 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…125 | ||
| ≥ $4.13 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $85 | $86 | A | KXAAAGASD-26…130 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.050 on Jul 24, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasd-26jul24/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasd-26jul24 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasd-26jul24") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SDHS8JD4J1",
"slug": "kxaaagasd-26jul24",
"question": "Average **gas prices**",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-energy-prices",
"gasoline-market",
"daily-forecast",
"commodity-prices",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 17,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 28928,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}