Average **gas prices** [ resolves 2026-09-30 (69D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2.5 | 2026-09-30 | 99.0% | $682 | $2.6K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $2.6 | 2026-09-30 | 98.0% | — | $572 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $2.7 | 2026-09-30 | 98.0% | — | $485 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $2.8 | 2026-09-30 | 98.0% | — | $937 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $2.9 | 2026-09-30 | 99.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2026-09-30 | 99.0% | — | $2.2K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $3.1 | 2026-09-30 | 98.0% | $123 | $2.1K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $3.2 | 2026-09-30 | 98.0% | $94 | $1.1K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $3.3 | 2026-09-30 | 99.0% | $268 | $2.8K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $3.4 | 2026-09-30 | 96.0% | $272 | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-09-30 | 96.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $3.6 | 2026-09-30 | 91.0% | $190 | $1.5K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $3.7 | 2026-09-30 | 89.0% | $991 | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $3.8 | 2026-09-30 | 89.0% | $452 | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $3.9 | 2026-09-30 | 84.0% | $509 | $3.5K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-09-30 | 86.0% | $711 | $4.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-09-30 | 81.0% | $1.0K | $3.6K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-09-30 | 74.0% | $797 | $2.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $4.3 | 2026-09-30 | 50.0% | $398 | $1.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $4.4 | 2026-09-30 | 30.0% | $260 | $1.1K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-09-30 | 28.0% | $218 | $896 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….50 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasm-26aug31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasm-26aug31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasm-26aug31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
"slug": "kxaaagasm-26aug31",
"question": "Average **gas prices**",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"energy-economics",
"commodity-markets",
"august-2026",
"inflation-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45277,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}