Will US gas prices reach a specific threshold in June 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2.9 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $74 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $3.1 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $1.9K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $3.2 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $3.3 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $3.4 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $3.6K | $4.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $2.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $3.6 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $23 | $2.7K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $3.7 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $997 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $3.8 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $347 | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $3.9 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $2.0K | $3.8K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $804 | $2.0K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $898 | $2.2K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $373 | $1.8K | A | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $4.3 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $135 | $528 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $4.4 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $93 | $823 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $104 | $719 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $4.6 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $46 | $549 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $4.7 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $14 | $134 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $4.8 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $15 | $107 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $4.9 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $19 | $177 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $3 | $43 | A | KXAAAGASM-26….00 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.70? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.90? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (22 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasm-26jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasm-26jun30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasm-26jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
"slug": "kxaaagasm-26jun30",
"question": "Will US gas prices reach a specific threshold in June 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"energy-commodities",
"near-term-forecast",
"2026",
"inflation-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 33098,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}