AAA national average gas price, August 17, 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-17 (13D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $3.86 | 2026-08-17 | 99.0% | $12K | $12K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…860 | ||
| ≥ $3.88 | 2026-08-17 | 98.0% | $5.9K | $6.0K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…880 | ||
| ≥ $3.9 | 2026-08-17 | 96.0% | $1.7K | $1.7K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…900 | ||
| ≥ $3.92 | 2026-08-17 | 92.0% | $2.0K | $2.1K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…920 | ||
| ≥ $3.94 | 2026-08-17 | 92.0% | $2.2K | $4.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…940 | ||
| ≥ $3.96 | 2026-08-17 | 90.0% | $3.1K | $3.8K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…960 | ||
| ≥ $3.98 | 2026-08-17 | 85.0% | $2.0K | $2.2K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…980 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-08-17 | 61.0% | $4.7K | $5.1K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…000 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-08-17 | 46.0% | $3.0K | $3.2K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…020 | ||
| ≥ $4.04 | 2026-08-17 | 27.0% | $3.1K | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…040 | ||
| ≥ $4.06 | 2026-08-17 | 20.0% | $1.4K | $1.5K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…060 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-08-17 | 13.0% | $475 | $522 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…080 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-08-17 | 6.0% | $140 | $179 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…100 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-08-17 | 3.0% | $64 | $80 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…120 | ||
| ≥ $4.14 | 2026-08-17 | 2.0% | $52 | $57 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…140 | ||
| ≥ $4.16 | 2026-08-17 | 2.0% | $38 | $38 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…160 | ||
| ≥ $4.18 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $24 | $25 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…180 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $6 | $21 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…200 | ||
| ≥ $4.22 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $14 | $40 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…220 | ||
| ≥ $4.24 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $10 | $28 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…240 | ||
| ≥ $4.26 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $0 | $11 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…260 | ||
| ≥ $4.28 | 2026-08-17 | 1.0% | $3 | $21 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…280 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.860 on Aug 10, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasw-26aug10/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasw-26aug10 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasw-26aug10") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FCL1JMT0V9",
"slug": "kxaaagasw-26aug10",
"question": "AAA national average gas price, August 17, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"us-gas-prices",
"energy-commodities",
"weekly-resolution",
"economics",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45878,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}