National average gas prices, June 8, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-08 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-06-08 | 100.0% | $90 | $90 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…120 | ||
| ≥ $4.14 | 2026-06-08 | 100.0% | $1.1K | $1.9K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…140 | ||
| ≥ $4.16 | 2026-06-08 | 100.0% | $520 | $872 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…160 | ||
| ≥ $4.18 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $569 | $2.4K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…180 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $2.0K | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…200 | ||
| ≥ $4.22 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $1.8K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…220 | ||
| ≥ $4.24 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $615 | $782 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…240 | ||
| ≥ $4.26 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $738 | $845 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…260 | ||
| ≥ $4.28 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…280 | ||
| ≥ $4.3 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $3.3K | $4.5K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…300 | ||
| ≥ $4.32 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $11K | $18K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…320 | ||
| ≥ $4.34 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $860 | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…340 | ||
| ≥ $4.36 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $424 | $1.5K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…360 | ||
| ≥ $4.38 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $123 | $295 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…380 | ||
| ≥ $4.4 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $73 | $159 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…400 | ||
| ≥ $4.42 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $376 | $867 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…420 | ||
| ≥ $4.44 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $5 | $5 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…440 | ||
| ≥ $4.46 | 2026-06-08 | 0.0% | $13 | $50 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…460 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.120 on Jun 8, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.120? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.140? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.160? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 100% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.180? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.200? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.220? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.240? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.260? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.280? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.300? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.320? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.340? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.360? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.380? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.400? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.420? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.440? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.460? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (18 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasw-26jun08/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasw-26jun08 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasw-26jun08") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-4J85XQV4X1",
"slug": "kxaaagasw-26jun08",
"question": "National average gas prices, June 8, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"gasoline-prices",
"us-energy",
"weekly-resolution",
"commodity-markets",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 39667,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}