CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will US gas prices rise this week? [ resolves 2026-06-08 (5D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 18 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $4.12 2026-06-08 80.0%
$90 $90
C KXAAAGASW-26…120
≥ $4.14 2026-06-08 92.0%
$1.1K $1.9K
C KXAAAGASW-26…140
≥ $4.16 2026-06-08 51.0%
$520 $872
C KXAAAGASW-26…160
≥ $4.18 2026-06-08 69.0%
$569 $2.4K
C KXAAAGASW-26…180
≥ $4.2 2026-06-08 51.0%
$2.0K $3.3K
C KXAAAGASW-26…200
≥ $4.22 2026-06-08 39.0%
$1.2K $1.8K
C KXAAAGASW-26…220
≥ $4.24 2026-06-08 25.0%
$615 $782
C KXAAAGASW-26…240
≥ $4.26 2026-06-08 16.0%
$738 $845
C KXAAAGASW-26…260
≥ $4.28 2026-06-08 18.0%
$1.2K $1.3K
C KXAAAGASW-26…280
≥ $4.3 2026-06-08 24.0%
$3.3K $4.5K
C KXAAAGASW-26…300
≥ $4.32 2026-06-08 63.0%
$11K $18K
C KXAAAGASW-26…320
≥ $4.34 2026-06-08 19.0%
$860 $1.3K
C KXAAAGASW-26…340
≥ $4.36 2026-06-08 38.0%
$424 $1.5K
C KXAAAGASW-26…360
≥ $4.38 2026-06-08 13.0%
$123 $295
C KXAAAGASW-26…380
≥ $4.4 2026-06-08 9.0%
$73 $159
C KXAAAGASW-26…400
≥ $4.42 2026-06-08 79.0%
$376 $867
C KXAAAGASW-26…420
≥ $4.44 2026-06-08 6.0%
$5 $5
C KXAAAGASW-26…440
≥ $4.46 2026-06-08 7.0%
$13 $50
C KXAAAGASW-26…460
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 18 markets · share this text
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.120 on Jun 8, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasw-26jun08/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasw-26jun08.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasw-26jun08")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4J85XQV4X1",
  "slug": "kxaaagasw-26jun08",
  "question": "Will US gas prices rise this week?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "gasoline-prices",
    "us-energy",
    "weekly-resolution",
    "commodity-markets",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 18,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 39667,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →