Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on August 7, 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-05 (93D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 2026-11-05 | 79.0% | $2.2K | $5.6K | A | KXACTBLUETOP…TAL | ||
| Abdul El-Sayed | 2026-11-05 | 11.0% | $191 | $349 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…ELS | ||
| Jon Ossoff | 2026-11-05 | 6.0% | $73 | $264 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…OSS | ||
| Sherrod Brown | 2026-11-05 | 1.0% | $2 | $2 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…BRO | ||
| Mary Peltola | 2026-11-05 | 1.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…PEL | ||
| Troy Jackson | 2026-11-05 | 1.0% | $1 | $19 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…JAC | ||
| Haley Stevens | 2026-11-05 | 1.0% | $2 | $20 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…STE |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ActBlue | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundraiser.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with ActBlue. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ActBlue" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- ActBlue source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxactbluetop-26aug07/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxactbluetop-26aug07 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxactbluetop-26aug07") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-N8BD9N92C1",
"slug": "kxactbluetop-26aug07",
"question": "Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on August 7, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"actblue-fundraising",
"us-politics",
"2026-election",
"real-time-snapshot",
"democratic-fundraising"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6220,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 97,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ActBlue",
"resolution_source_url": "https://secure.actblue.com/directory",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ActBlue",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ActBlue",
"url": "https://secure.actblue.com/directory",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}