Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser by July 31, 2026? [ resolves 2026-10-29 (98D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 2026-10-29 | 78.0% | $924 | $4.5K | A | KXACTBLUETOP…OSS | ||
| Troy Jackson | 2026-10-29 | 12.0% | $73 | $254 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…JAC | ||
| James Talarico | 2026-10-29 | 8.0% | $12 | $103 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…TAL | ||
| Abdul El-Sayed | 2026-10-29 | 2.0% | $3 | $6 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…ELS | ||
| Sherrod Brown | 2026-10-29 | 2.0% | $0 | $39 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…BRO | ||
| Mary Peltola | 2026-10-29 | 1.0% | $0 | $2 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…PEL | ||
| Haley Stevens | 2026-10-29 | 1.0% | $0 | $40 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…STE | ||
| Nirav Shah | 2026-10-29 | 1.0% | — | $58 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…SHA | ||
| Shenna Bellows | 2026-10-29 | 1.0% | — | $83 | A | KXACTBLUETOP…BEL |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ActBlue | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the top fundraiser. If the top fundraiser is none of the listed options, all markets will resolve to No.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ActBlue" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- ActBlue source of record venue-listed
- https://secure.actblue.com/directory from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxactbluetop-26jul31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxactbluetop-26jul31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxactbluetop-26jul31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VLV4C9KKQ0",
"slug": "kxactbluetop-26jul31",
"question": "Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser by July 31, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"actblue-fundraising",
"us-politics",
"2026",
"fundraiser-rankings",
"democratic-fundraising"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5127,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 97,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ActBlue",
"resolution_source_url": "https://secure.actblue.com/directory",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ActBlue",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ActBlue",
"url": "https://secure.actblue.com/directory",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://secure.actblue.com/directory",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}