Argentina inflation rate month-over-month, July 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-20 (16D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 1.2% | 2026-08-20 | 95.0% | — | $79 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…1.2 | ||
| ≥ 1.4% | 2026-08-20 | 89.0% | — | $995 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…1.4 | ||
| ≥ 1.6% | 2026-08-20 | 78.0% | — | $3.8K | C | KXARMOMINF-2…1.6 | ||
| ≥ 1.8% | 2026-08-20 | 27.0% | $116 | $1.8K | C | KXARMOMINF-2…1.8 | ||
| ≥ 2% | 2026-08-20 | 4.0% | $6 | $219 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…2.0 | ||
| ≥ 2.2% | 2026-08-20 | 5.0% | — | $67 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…2.2 | ||
| ≥ 2.4% | 2026-08-20 | 6.0% | — | $7 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…2.4 | ||
| ≥ 2.6% | 2026-08-20 | 1.0% | — | $0 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…2.6 | ||
| ≥ 2.8% | 2026-08-20 | 3.0% | — | $0 | C | KXARMOMINF-2…2.8 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Argentina inflation rate MoM for July 2026 is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2)
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxarmominf-26aug13/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxarmominf-26aug13 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxarmominf-26aug13") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C2290K2WZ0",
"slug": "kxarmominf-26aug13",
"question": "Argentina inflation rate month-over-month, July 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"argentina-inflation",
"economic-indicators",
"latin-america",
"2026",
"monthly-metrics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6985,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 18,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"discretionary_trigger_no_source",
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}