CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Who will attend UFC Freedom 250? [ resolved 2026-06-15 ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 27 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Donald Trump Jr. 2026-06-15 100.0%
$376 $5.1K
C KXATTENDUFC2…DJR
Kid Rock 2026-06-15 100.0%
$909 $7.8K
C KXATTENDUFC2…ROC
Barron Trump 2026-06-15 100.0%
$429 $3.3K
C KXATTENDUFC2…TRU
Marco Rubio 2026-06-15 100.0%
$529 $4.3K
C KXATTENDUFC2…RUB
Pete Hegseth 2026-06-15 100.0%
$228 $1.5K
C KXATTENDUFC2…HEG
Jared Kushner 2026-06-15 100.0%
$1.1K $3.6K
C KXATTENDUFC2…KUS
Kash Patel 2026-06-15 100.0%
$260 $2.5K
C KXATTENDUFC2…PAT
Joe Rogan 2026-06-15 100.0%
$2.2K $12K
C KXATTENDUFC2…ROG
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2026-06-15 100.0%
$166 $1.5K
C KXATTENDUFC2…KEN
Mark Zuckerburg 2026-06-15 100.0%
$501 $1.7K
C KXATTENDUFC2…ZUC
Sean Strickland 2026-06-15 100.0%
$533 $1.6K
C KXATTENDUFC2…STR
Kyle Forgeard 2026-06-15 100.0%
$858 $2.9K
C KXATTENDUFC2…FOR
Tom Brady 2026-06-15 0.0%
$497 $1.3K
C KXATTENDUFC2…BRA
Dwayne Johnson 2026-06-15 0.0%
$79 $626
C KXATTENDUFC2…JOH
Adam Sandler 2026-06-15 0.0%
$89 $326
C KXATTENDUFC2…SAN
Jason Statham 2026-06-15 0.0%
$73 $299
C KXATTENDUFC2…STA
Elon Musk 2026-06-15 0.0%
$1.6K $9.6K
C KXATTENDUFC2…MUS
Tiger Woods 2026-06-15 0.0%
$329 $816
C KXATTENDUFC2…WOO
Mark Wahlberg 2026-06-15 0.0%
$90 $224
C KXATTENDUFC2…WAH
Conor McGregor 2026-06-15 0.0%
$2.1K $7.0K
C KXATTENDUFC2…MCG
Vince McMahon 2026-06-15 0.0%
$53 $394
C KXATTENDUFC2…MCM
Spencer Pratt 2026-06-15 0.0%
$241 $1.1K
C KXATTENDUFC2…PRA
Adin Ross 2026-06-15 0.0%
$404 $2.7K
C KXATTENDUFC2…ROS
Jake Paul 2026-06-15 0.0%
$613 $3.0K
C KXATTENDUFC2…PAU
Mike Tyson 2026-06-15 0.0%
$789 $2.3K
C KXATTENDUFC2…TYS
Benjamin Netanyahu 2026-06-15 0.0%
$131 $1.3K
C KXATTENDUFC2…NET
Theo Von 2026-06-15 0.0%
$826 $2.6K
C KXATTENDUFC2…VON
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff USA Today not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 27 markets · share this text
If Tom Brady attends any UFC Freedom 250 event in person, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today"
sources (17)
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will Tom Brady attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Dwayne Johnson attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Adam Sandler attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Jason Statham attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Elon Musk attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Tiger Woods attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Mark Wahlberg attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Conor McGregor attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Vince McMahon attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Spencer Pratt attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Adin Ross attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Jake Paul attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Mike Tyson attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will Theo Von attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 0%
YES Will Donald Trump Jr. attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Kid Rock attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Barron Trump attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Marco Rubio attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Pete Hegseth attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Jared Kushner attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Kash Patel attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Joe Rogan attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Mark Zuckerburg attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Sean Strickland attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will Kyle Forgeard attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (27 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxattendufc250-26jun/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxattendufc250-26jun
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxattendufc250-26jun")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3Q7GJYTJD4",
  "slug": "kxattendufc250-26jun",
  "question": "Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "ufc-freedom-250",
    "celebrity-attendance",
    "political-event",
    "in-person-appearance",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 27,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 81662,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 54,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "USA Today",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "USA Today",
      "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Vogue",
      "url": "https://www.vogue.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Billboard",
      "url": "https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →