Will UFC Freedom 250 take place? [ resolves 2026-06-15 (12D) ]
Will Tom Brady attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 90.1% | — | $105 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…KEN | ||
| Will Joe Rogan attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 84.0% | $25 | $445 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…ROG | ||
| Will Marco Rubio attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 83.0% | $23 | $364 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…RUB | ||
| Will Pete Hegseth attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 82.0% | $13 | $468 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…HEG | ||
| Will Kash Patel attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 82.0% | — | $16 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…PAT | ||
| Will Jason Statham attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 68.0% | $101 | $126 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…STA | ||
| Will Kid Rock attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 68.0% | $9 | $770 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…ROC | ||
| Will Barron Trump attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 68.0% | $22 | $228 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…TRU | ||
| Will Mark Zuckerburg attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 68.0% | $3 | $535 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…ZUC | ||
| Will Donald Trump Jr. attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 66.0% | $26 | $820 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…DJR | ||
| Will Jared Kushner attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 65.0% | $1 | $109 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…KUS | ||
| Will Dwayne Johnson attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 52.0% | $26 | $1.8K | C | KXATTENDUFC2…JOH | ||
| Will Tom Brady attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 51.0% | $2 | $158 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…BRA | ||
| Will Adin Ross attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 39.0% | $25 | $3.1K | C | KXATTENDUFC2…ROS | ||
| Will Conor McGregor attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 32.0% | $8 | $342 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…MCG | ||
| Will Mike Tyson attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 27.0% | — | $79 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…TYS | ||
| Will Elon Musk attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 26.0% | $21 | $1.5K | C | KXATTENDUFC2…MUS | ||
| Will Spencer Pratt attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 14.0% | — | $119 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…PRA | ||
| Will Mark Wahlberg attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 12.0% | — | $14 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…WAH | ||
| Will Jake Paul attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 12.0% | $20 | $402 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…PAU | ||
| Will Adam Sandler attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 11.0% | $21 | $309 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…SAN | ||
| Will Vince McMahon attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 9.9% | $3 | $60 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…MCM | ||
| Will Tiger Woods attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 9.6% | $2 | $35 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…WOO | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person | 2026-06-15 | 7.0% | $64 | $502 | C | KXATTENDUFC2…NET |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | USA Today | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Tom Brady attends any UFC Freedom 250 event in person, then the market resolves to Yes.
Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxattendufc250-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxattendufc250-26jun.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxattendufc250-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3Q7GJYTJD4",
"slug": "kxattendufc250-26jun",
"question": "Will UFC Freedom 250 take place?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"ufc-freedom-250",
"event-attendance",
"celebrity-appearance",
"sports-politics",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12463,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "USA Today",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}