Will the New York Attorney General race be decided by January 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-02 (151D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the relevant electoral authority governing <election> | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New York for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the relevant electoral authority governing <election>" sources (1)
recent wire items
- Buyers back NY AG staying Democratic by a wide margin 92% · $47K 24h
- At 92%, the market treats a Democratic hold of the New York AG seat as near-certain.
- Today's $47K inflow is 27% of all-time volume, a sharp concentration of fresh conviction.
- Renewed activity may track a candidate filing deadline, polling drop, or Republican field development.
- Contract resolves on the 2026 New York Attorney General election result.
- Buyers back the NY AG Democratic hold at 89% 89% · $44K 24h
- Market prices a near-certain Democratic hold of the New York Attorney General seat at 89%.
- Kalshi logs $44K in 24h volume, 27% of the contract's entire all-time traded value in one session.
- Late-cycle attention at this confidence level suggests traders are stress-testing the lead, not doubting it.
- Resolves on New York AG election results; any Republican upset would be a significant repricing event.
- Buyers back NY Attorney General Democratic win at 94% 94% · $17K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic victory in New York's AG race at 94%, heavy favorite with active reinforcement.
- 24h volume of $16.6K hits exactly 25% of all-time handle, a clean milestone in a deep contract.
- Fresh volume at 94% suggests traders are layering into the favorite rather than fading, conviction trade.
- Resolves on certified New York Attorney General election result.
- NY AG Democratic hold trades near certainty at 91% 91% · $18K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic retention at 91%, the market treats a Republican win as a remote scenario.
- $18K in 24h is 47% of all-time volume, a notable mid-cycle burst for a near-consensus contract.
- Fresh volume at the top of the range suggests traders are either confirming the price or hunting for value at the margins.
- Resolves on New York Attorney General election result.
- NY AG odds hold near certainty as fresh volume arrives 91% · $16K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democrats winning New York's Attorney General race at 91%, near-certain favorite territory.
- 44% of all-time volume, $16K, printed in one session, indicating renewed market attention at an extreme price.
- Fresh volume at 91% odds typically reflects either late position-taking on the favorite or thin short-side liquidity being removed.
- Resolves on 2026 New York Attorney General election outcome.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxattygenny-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxattygenny-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxattygenny-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2WVDLYDTS5",
"slug": "kxattygenny-26",
"question": "Will the New York Attorney General race be decided by January 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"new-york-attorney-general",
"2027-election",
"state-politics",
"legal-office",
"partisan-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14905,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the relevant electoral authority governing " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the relevant electoral authority governing " ,
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}