Will the Republican nominee for Arizona's 1st congressional district be selected by the 2024 election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-1?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 74.0% | — | $5.7K | A | KXAZ01R-26-JFEE | ||
| Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 16.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXAZ01R-26-JCHA | ||
| Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXAZ01R-26-MGRE | ||
| Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXAZ01R-26-JDUE | ||
| Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | A | KXAZ01R-26-GSWO | ||
| Will Michelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXAZ01R-26-MUGE | ||
| Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXAZ01R-26-TGRA | ||
| Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-1 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXAZ01R-26-KLAK |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaz01r-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaz01r-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaz01r-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3YB040ZX15",
"slug": "kxaz01r-26",
"question": "Will the Republican nominee for Arizona's 1st congressional district be selected by the 2024 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"2026-election",
"arizona",
"republican-primary",
"house-races"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6838,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}