Boeing commercial airplane deliveries, 2026 [ resolves 2028-03-31 (605D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 560 | 2028-03-31 | 90.0% | — | $4.9K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…560 | ||
| > 580 | 2028-03-31 | 94.0% | — | $4.5K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…580 | ||
| > 600 | 2028-03-31 | 88.0% | — | $4.6K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…600 | ||
| > 620 | 2028-03-31 | 85.0% | — | $9.2K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…620 | ||
| > 640 | 2028-03-31 | 69.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…640 | ||
| > 660 | 2028-03-31 | 39.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXBAA-28JAND…660 | ||
| > 680 | 2028-03-31 | 17.0% | — | $142 | C | KXBAA-28JAND…680 | ||
| > 700 | 2028-03-31 | 8.0% | $2 | $28 | C | KXBAA-28JAND…700 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Boeing Company (The) reports Above 560 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
recent wire items
- Buyers back Boeing crossing 560 commercial deliveries in 2026 95% · $10K 24h
- Kalshi prices the above-560 threshold at 95%, the market treats this production target as effectively achieved.
- $10.4K in 24h is 32% of all-time volume, a meaningful late-stage activity burst for an industrial output contract.
- Volume at 95% pricing points to settlement-stage positioning as Boeing's 2026 delivery pace becomes trackable from reported data.
- Contract resolves on Boeing's official 2026 full-year commercial airplane delivery count.
- Heavy trading backs Boeing topping 560 deliveries in 2026 96% · $16K 24h
- 96% pricing reflects strong market conviction that Boeing crosses 560 commercial deliveries in 2026.
- 70% of all-time contract volume traded in 24 hours, the deepest single-day concentration in this market's history.
- Boeing's production ramp and recent delivery data likely triggered a final-leg repricing toward near-certainty.
- Resolution tied to full-year 2026 delivery count; at 96%, the market leaves little room for a supply-chain shock.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbaa-28jandeliv/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbaa-28jandeliv |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbaa-28jandeliv") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-XC5LD6MTP5",
"slug": "kxbaa-28jandeliv",
"question": "Boeing commercial airplane deliveries, 2026",
"category": "companies",
"tags": [
"companies",
"boeing",
"commercial-aviation",
"aircraft-manufacturing",
"delivery-metrics",
"2026-performance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 28218,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}