Will more than X companies go bankrupt this year? [ resolves 2027-03-13 (250D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 93.0% | — | $51 | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…550 | ||
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 99.0% | — | $32 | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…600 | ||
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 98.0% | — | $23 | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…650 | ||
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 85.0% | — | $5.2K | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…750 | ||
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 63.0% | — | $585 | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…800 | ||
| How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year | 2027-03-13 | 51.0% | — | $511 | C | KXBANKRUPTCY…850 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Standard & Poor's | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 550, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Standard & Poor's" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Standard & Poor's source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbankruptcy-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbankruptcy-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbankruptcy-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-452NHH76X2",
"slug": "kxbankruptcy-26",
"question": "Will more than X companies go bankrupt this year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"corporate-bankruptcies",
"economic-indicators",
"us-economy",
"numeric-outcome",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6425,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Standard & Poor's",
"resolution_source_url": "https://disclosure.spglobal.com/sri/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Standard & Poor's",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Standard & Poor's",
"url": "https://disclosure.spglobal.com/sri/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}