Will U.S. oil production exceed X barrels per day in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 13.75 | 2027-01-01 | 70.0% | — | $1.8K | A | KXBARRELS-26-13.75 | ||
| ≥ 13.8 | 2027-01-01 | 58.0% | — | $708 | A | KXBARRELS-26-13.80 | ||
| ≥ 13.9 | 2027-01-01 | 39.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXBARRELS-26-13.90 | ||
| ≥ 14 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $1 | $442 | A | KXBARRELS-26-14.00 | ||
| ≥ 14.1 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $448 | A | KXBARRELS-26-14.10 | ||
| ≥ 14.25 | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | — | $1.1K | A | KXBARRELS-26-14.25 | ||
| ≥ 14.4 | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXBARRELS-26-14.40 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbarrels-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbarrels-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbarrels-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P3HZWM68C0",
"slug": "kxbarrels-26",
"question": "Will U.S. oil production exceed X barrels per day in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"energy-production",
"us-economy",
"oil-commodities",
"annual-aggregate",
"2026-metric"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7045,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}