Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-1 House election | 2026-11-03 | 98.9% | — | $2.4K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BUS | ||
| James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas | 2026-11-03 | 88.0% | $202 | $25K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…TAL | ||
| Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race | 2026-11-03 | 79.0% | — | $578 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…HIN | ||
| Charles Booker in the 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky | 2026-11-03 | 62.0% | $481 | $7.9K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BOO | ||
| Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race | 2026-11-03 | 54.0% | $5 | $2.2K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…RAM | ||
| Josh Turek in Iowa Senate Race | 2026-11-03 | 29.0% | $394 | $1.5K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…TUR | ||
| Juliana Stratton in the 2026 United States Senate election in Illinois | 2026-11-03 | 27.0% | — | $273 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…STR | ||
| Mary Peltola in the 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska | 2026-11-03 | 20.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…PEL | ||
| Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial race | 2026-11-03 | 17.0% | — | $2 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BEC | ||
| Alan Grayson in the 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida | 2026-11-03 | 12.0% | — | $443 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…GRA | ||
| Zach Wahls in the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa | 2026-11-03 | 8.5% | — | $357 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…WAH | ||
| Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska | 2026-11-03 | 5.5% | $22 | $163 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…OSB | ||
| Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election | 2026-11-03 | 4.8% | — | $98 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…DEL | ||
| Tom Steyer in 2026 California gubernatorial race | 2026-11-03 | 4.0% | — | $153 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…STE | ||
| Cameron Kasky in the 2026 NY-12 House election | 2026-11-03 | 3.0% | — | $52 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…KAS | ||
| Omar Fateh in the 2026 Minnesota State Senate election in District 62 | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $31 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…FAT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | official social media accounts controlled by <person> | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "official social media accounts controlled by <person>" sources (18)
- official social media accounts controlled by <person> venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- official campaign announcements from <candidate> venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- Politico EU venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- official statements from organizations where <person> holds a leadership position venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbernieendorse-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbernieendorse-26nov03 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbernieendorse-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-34LLMF08Y2",
"slug": "kxbernieendorse-26nov03",
"question": "Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"2026-midterms",
"bernie-sanders",
"political-endorsements",
"us-elections",
"democrat-candidates"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 42900,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "official social media accounts controlled by " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official social media accounts controlled by " ,
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official campaign announcements from " ,
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico EU",
"url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official statements from organizations where holds a leadership position" ,
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}