CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~16,400 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer before Oct 1, 2026? [ resolves 2026-10-01 (111D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Oct 2026-10-01 63.0%
$7.4K
C KXBIDENTAPES…T01
Jul 2026-10-01 10.0%
$348
C KXBIDENTAPES…L01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If the Department of Justice (DOJ) has released audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Released to the public means the document is made freely accessible to the general public without restriction, can be viewed, downloaded, or accessed by the public (paywalls and similar restrictions still count as public), and the release is intentional by the entity (not a leak or hack). Publishing the full document on a publicly accessible website, making it available through a public records request portal, including it as an attachment to a public filing, distributing to media outlets who publish it in full, or posting on publicly accessible social media platforms all constitute release to the public. Merely describing or summarizing the document's contents, publishing excerpts or portions, showing the document briefly on screen, releasing a redacted version when the unredacted version is specified, or leaking without authorization do NOT constitute release to the public.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbidentapes-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbidentapes-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxbidentapes-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-12. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K5WZ8F15F9",
  "slug": "kxbidentapes-26",
  "question": "Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer before Oct 1, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "biden-administration",
    "doj-records",
    "government-transparency",
    "document-release"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7721,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 80,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-12T17:36:15.149624+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →