How many bills will President Trump sign in July 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (9D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 to 0 | 2026-08-01 | 75.0% | $6 | $7.5K | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…0.0 | ||
| 1 to 1 | 2026-08-01 | 65.0% | — | $1.5K | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…1.0 | ||
| 2 to 2 | 2026-08-01 | 7.0% | — | $31 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…2.0 | ||
| 3 to 3 | 2026-08-01 | 13.0% | — | $43 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…3.0 | ||
| 4 to 4 | 2026-08-01 | 2.0% | — | $4 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…4.0 | ||
| 5 to 5 | 2026-08-01 | 2.0% | — | $4 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…5.0 | ||
| 6 to 6 | 2026-08-01 | 2.0% | — | $4 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…6.0 | ||
| 7 to 7 | 2026-08-01 | 2.0% | — | $5 | A | KXBILLSCOUNT…7.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the President signs exactly 0 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Joint resolutions are included.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (2) · single authority
- Library of Congress source of record venue-listed
- White House venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbillscount-26jul/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbillscount-26jul |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbillscount-26jul") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DS9QCV5896",
"slug": "kxbillscount-26jul",
"question": "How many bills will President Trump sign in July 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"presidential-legislation",
"trump-administration",
"monthly-bill-count",
"us-congress",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9165,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://congress.gov",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://congress.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "White House",
"url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}