Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General | 2027-01-01 | 81.0% | $386 | $10K | A | KXBLANCHECOU…T49 | ||
| How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | $26 | $3.8K | A | KXBLANCHECOU…T50 | ||
| How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General | 2027-01-01 | 30.0% | $188 | $969 | A | KXBLANCHECOU…T51 | ||
| How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $12 | $153 | A | KXBLANCHECOU…T52 | ||
| How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General | 2027-01-01 | 2.0% | $1 | $90 | A | KXBLANCHECOU…T53 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | U.S. Senate | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.
If no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "U.S. Senate" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- U.S. Senate source of record venue-listed
- Senate.gov from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxblanchecount-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxblanchecount-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxblanchecount-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GMWVVJJ4S2",
"slug": "kxblanchecount-27",
"question": "Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-senate-confirmation",
"attorney-general",
"todd-blanche",
"senate-vote-count",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15201,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "U.S. Senate",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "U.S. Senate",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "U.S. Senate",
"url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Senate.gov",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}