Will Todd Blanche's Attorney General nomination advance from committee? [ resolved 2026-08-04 ]

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before Aug 1, 2026?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Aug 1, 2026	2026-08-01	0.0%	$1.3K	$22K	C	`KXBLANCHEJUD…G01`
Sep 1, 2026	2026-08-04	100.0%	$408	$4.3K	C	`KXBLANCHEJUD…P01`
Oct 1, 2026	2026-08-04	100.0%	$22	$2.5K	C	`KXBLANCHEJUD…T01`
Jan 1, 2027	2026-08-04	100.0%	$211	$1.6K	C	`KXBLANCHEJUD…N01`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	The Washington Post	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 4 markets · share this text

If the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"

sources (22)

The Washington Post venue-listed Fox News venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed The Guardian venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg News venue-listed CBS venue-listed South China Morning Post venue-listed NBC venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed The Verge venue-listed BBC venue-listed Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed ABC News Australia venue-listed The Information venue-listed Semafor venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed CBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed Politico venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before Sep 1, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-08-04`	`100%`
YES	Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before Oct 1, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-08-04`	`100%`
YES	Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2026-08-04`	`100%`
NO	Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before Aug 1, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-08-01`	`0%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

2026-08-04T10:33:57+00:00 volume-spike
Senate Judiciary Committee action odds hold firm near certainty 97% · $18K 24h
- At 97%, Kalshi treats a reported Senate Judiciary Committee action as all but certain.
- 24h volume of $18K is 28% of all-time, a meaningful inflow with resolution likely close.
- Volume near a 97% ceiling typically reflects last-mile positioning as a resolution event becomes imminent.
- Resolves on sourced reporting from designated agencies confirming the committee action.
2026-08-03T11:19:10+00:00 volume-spike
Senate Judiciary Committee action odds hold near 92% 92% · $13K 24h
- At 92%, the market prices Senate Judiciary Committee action as nearly assured within the resolution window.
- $12.6K traded in 24h is 29% of all-time volume, a sharp single-session burst.
- Volume at this late-stage probability typically reflects traders locking in near-certain gains or hedging residual tail risk.
- Resolves on a qualifying report from designated source agencies on Committee activity.
2026-07-31T10:35:22+00:00 volume-spike
Heavy trading tests Senate Judiciary Committee odds at a discount 33% · $23K 24h
- At 33%, Kalshi prices the Senate Judiciary Committee action as more likely not to occur.
- $22K in 24h is 80% of all-time volume, near the entire contract lifetime in one session.
- An 80% all-time share implies a sharp new catalyst or deadline forcing a binary decision.
- Resolution tied to reporting by designated source agencies.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxblanchejudiciary-27/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxblanchejudiciary-27`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxblanchejudiciary-27")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZY4R2CPG9",
  "slug": "kxblanchejudiciary-27",
  "question": "Will Todd Blanche's Attorney General nomination advance from committee?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "senate-judiciary-committee",
    "attorney-general-nomination",
    "todd-blanche",
    "us-senate-confirmation",
    "2026-us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 30358,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
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    {
      "name": "CBS",
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    {
      "name": "South China Morning Post",
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    },
    {
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      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
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    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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    {
      "name": "The Verge",
      "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
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    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
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    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
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    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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    },
    {
      "name": "ABC News Australia",
      "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
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    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
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    },
    {
      "name": "CBC",
      "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →