CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2027-01 ]

When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public 2026-06-19 100.0%
$4 $6.4K
C KXBOLIBRARYO…L01
When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public 2027-01-08 99.0%
$4 $2.8K
C KXBOLIBRARYO…N01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Fox News not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If Barack Obama's presidential library opens to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public? kalshi 2026-06-19 100%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbolibraryopen/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbolibraryopen
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxbolibraryopen")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4GZR9G28P5",
  "slug": "kxbolibraryopen",
  "question": "When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "obama-presidential-library",
    "us-politics",
    "chicago",
    "infrastructure-opening",
    "2026-event"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 9159,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Fox News",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official websites and social media accounts of ",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Time Out",
      "url": "https://www.timeout.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official websites of the operating entity or parent organization of ",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "local newspapers serving the area where  is situated",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "local government agencies with jurisdiction over ",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →