Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (169D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 4.5% | 2027-01-08 | 99.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….50 | ||
| ≥ 4.75% | 2027-01-08 | 97.0% | — | $3.5K | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….75 | ||
| ≥ 5% | 2027-01-08 | 58.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….00 | ||
| ≥ 5.25% | 2027-01-08 | 45.0% | $1 | $577 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….25 | ||
| ≥ 5.5% | 2027-01-08 | 17.0% | — | $249 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….50 | ||
| ≥ 5.75% | 2027-01-08 | 22.0% | $22 | $536 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….75 | ||
| ≥ 6% | 2027-01-08 | 14.0% | $28 | $179 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….00 | ||
| ≥ 6.25% | 2027-01-08 | 11.0% | $33 | $199 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….25 | ||
| ≥ 6.5% | 2027-01-08 | 2.0% | — | $27 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….50 | ||
| ≥ 6.75% | 2027-01-08 | 3.0% | — | $17 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….75 | ||
| ≥ 7% | 2027-01-08 | 2.0% | — | $1 | C | KXBRINFHIGH-….00 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.50% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 4.50%? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 99% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbrinfhigh-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbrinfhigh-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbrinfhigh-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
"slug": "kxbrinfhigh-27jan01",
"question": "Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"brazil-inflation",
"economics-macro",
"price-levels",
"2026-resolution",
"emerging-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8839,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 36,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}