Will the Brazil Presidential election winner be determined by the next scheduled election date? [ resolves 2026-10-25 (144D) ]
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 43.0% | $2.2K | $128K | A | KXBRPRES-26-LULA | ||
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 34.0% | $441 | $163K | A | KXBRPRES-26-FBOL | ||
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 15.0% | $1.3K | $44K | A | KXBRPRES-26-RSAN | ||
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 6.0% | — | $10K | A | KXBRPRES-26-FH | ||
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 3.0% | — | $6.1K | A | KXBRPRES-26-RZEM | ||
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 2.8% | — | $2.1K | A | KXBRPRES-26-RCAI | ||
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 1.5% | — | $1.7K | A | KXBRPRES-26-JB | ||
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 1.0% | — | $361 | A | KXBRPRES-26-MB | ||
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 1.0% | — | $1 | A | KXBRPRES-26-CGOM | ||
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | A | KXBRPRES-26-TDF | ||
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 0.3% | — | $0 | A | KXBRPRES-26-EBOL | ||
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 0.3% | — | $99 | A | KXBRPRES-26-AREB | ||
| Will Ratinho Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2026-10-25 | 0.1% | — | $86 | A | KXBRPRES-26-RJUN |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AP | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AP" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbrpres-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbrpres-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbrpres-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DKSKHZR435",
"slug": "kxbrpres-26",
"question": "Will the Brazil Presidential election winner be determined by the next scheduled election date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"brazil-politics",
"presidential-election",
"2026-election",
"latin-america",
"political-outcomes"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 357159,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AP",
"resolution_source_url": "https://apnews.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}