CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin price be in a specific range on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT? [ resolved 2026-07-24 ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 50 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≤ $50,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5 $20
A KXBTC-26JUL2…500
$51,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$15
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$51,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$10
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$52,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$18
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$52,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$7
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$53,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$11
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$53,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$54,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$54,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$55,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$11
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$55,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$4
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$56,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$4
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$56,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$15
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$57,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$57,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$3
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$58,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$20
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$58,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$59,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$59,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$1
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$60,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$60,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$8
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$61,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$4
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$61,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$62,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$3
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$62,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$5 $17
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$63,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$18 $67
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$63,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$136 $348
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$64,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$278 $2.3K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$64,500 2026-07-24 100.0%
$562 $5.3K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$65,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$2.6K $11K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$65,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$1.7K $6.4K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$66,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$1.3K $4.2K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$66,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$672 $2.2K
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$67,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$89 $576
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$67,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$39 $207
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$68,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$11 $22
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$68,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$42 $99
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$69,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$32 $239
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$69,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$31
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$70,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$300 $391
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$70,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$20
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$71,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$71,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$72,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$2
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$72,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$2
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$73,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$73,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
$74,000 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…750
$74,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$0
A KXBTC-26JUL2…250
≥ $74,500 2026-07-24 0.0%
$16
A KXBTC-26JUL2….99
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff CF Benchmarks link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 50 markets · share this text
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is below 50500 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"
sources (3) · single authority
  • CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
  • CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from rules text · editorial
  • CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
YES Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 100%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
NO Bitcoin price range on Jul 24, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-24 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (50 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtc-26jul2417/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtc-26jul2417
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxbtc-26jul2417")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RJLW2GDJ08",
  "slug": "kxbtc-26jul2417",
  "question": "Will the Bitcoin price be in a specific range on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-range",
    "2026",
    "btc-usd"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 50,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 33454,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks",
      "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →