Will Bitcoin reach $65,099.79 on a 15-minute timeframe? [ resolved 2026-07-23 ]
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $65,100 | 2026-07-23 | 0.0% | $19K | $434K | A | KXBTC15M-26J…-15 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Jul 23, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on July 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" sources (3) · single authority
- CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
- CF Benchmarks' BRTI from rules text · editorial
- CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | BTC price up in next 15 mins? | kalshi | 2026-07-23 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtc15m-26jul231715/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtc15m-26jul231715 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbtc15m-26jul231715") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-V19RXBQNM8",
"slug": "kxbtc15m-26jul231715",
"question": "Will Bitcoin reach $65,099.79 on a 15-minute timeframe?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin-price",
"short-term-trading",
"crypto-volatility",
"15-minute-resolution",
"technical-analysis"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 433632,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}