Bitcoin trimmed mean price, June 30, 2026 [ resolves 2026-07-01 (28D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ $52,500 | 2026-07-01 | 10.0% | $1.6K | $2.5K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $55,000 | 2026-07-01 | 18.0% | $12K | $17K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $57,500 | 2026-07-01 | 25.0% | $9.6K | $21K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $60,000 | 2026-07-01 | 39.0% | $13K | $20K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $62,500 | 2026-07-01 | 61.0% | $7.1K | $11K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $65,000 | 2026-07-01 | 84.0% | $18K | $24K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $67,500 | 2026-07-01 | 99.0% | $18K | $24K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 | ||
| ≤ $70,000 | 2026-07-01 | 99.0% | $14K | $30K | A | KXBTCMINMON-…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtcminmon-btc-26jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtcminmon-btc-26jun30.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbtcminmon-btc-26jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
"slug": "kxbtcminmon-btc-26jun30",
"question": "Bitcoin trimmed mean price, June 30, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin-price",
"crypto-volatility",
"june-2026",
"price-floor",
"short-term-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 149506,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}