BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 28 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	2.6%	$24	$10K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN….00`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	1.8%	$29	$5.6K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	2.2%	$30	$6.1K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	2.5%	$11	$10K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	4.8%	$85	$55K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	7.0%	$113	$89K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	7.3%	$5	$140K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.7%	$220	$165K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	9.0%	$160	$159K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	9.9%	$217	$170K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	6.5%	$90	$109K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.4%	$171	$160K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	6.1%	$50	$119K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	6.8%	$138	$124K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	4.4%	$48	$77K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	3.4%	$67	$33K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	2.5%	$28	$7.2K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	2.4%	$5	$7.7K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	1.7%	—	$3.2K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	1.3%	$20	$2.8K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	1.2%	$4	$2.2K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.8%	$9	$1.7K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.8%	$0	$1.7K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.5%	$28	$1.1K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.6%	$1	$1.2K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	1.0%	$26	$2.4K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	3.9%	$232	$70K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN….99`
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.6%	$5	$1.6K	A	`KXBTCY-27JAN…500`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	CF Benchmarks	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 28 markets · share this text

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is below 20000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"

sources (3) · single authority

CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
CF Benchmarks' BRTI from rules text · editorial
CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) from rules text · editorial

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtcy-27jan0100/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtcy-27jan0100`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxbtcy-27jan0100")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3",
  "slug": "kxbtcy-27jan0100",
  "question": "BTC price  on Jan 1, 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-prediction",
    "eoy-2026",
    "btc-usd"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 28,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1534569,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks",
      "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →