Who will serve in Burnham's Cabinet in July 2026? [ resolved 2026-08-01 ]
Will Government of the UK report that Shabana Mahmood is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Healey | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…HEA | ||
| Ed Miliband | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $96 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…MIL | ||
| Louise Haigh | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $236 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…HAI | ||
| Yvette Cooper | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $104 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…COO | ||
| Angela Rayner | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $663 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…RAY | ||
| Jonathan Reynolds | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $421 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…REY | ||
| Pat McFadden | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $178 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…MCF | ||
| Alan Campbell | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $310 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…CAM | ||
| Bridget Phillipson | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $402 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…PHI | ||
| Lisa Nandy | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $132 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…NAN | ||
| Wes Streeting | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $976 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…STR | ||
| Heidi Alexander | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $43 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…ALE | ||
| Shabana Mahmood | 2026-07-21 | 100.0% | — | $54 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…MAH | ||
| David Lammy | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | $0 | $17 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…LAM | ||
| Rachel Reeves | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $34 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…REE | ||
| Liz Kendall | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | $0 | $19 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…KEN | ||
| Ian Murray | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $8 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…MUR | ||
| Hilary Benn | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $1 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…BEN | ||
| Jo Stevens | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | $0 | $1 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…STE | ||
| Jacqui Smith | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $25 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…SMI | ||
| James Murray | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $8 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…MUR | ||
| Dan Jarvis | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $6 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…JAR | ||
| Catherine West | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $1 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…WES | ||
| Patrick Vallance | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…VAL | ||
| Keir Starmer | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $0 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…STA | ||
| Jess Phillips | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $14 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…PHI | ||
| Darren Jones | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $48 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…JON | ||
| Peter Kyle | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | $3 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…KYL | ||
| Steve Reed | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | $0 | $9 | C | KXBURNHAMJUL…REE |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" | outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Steve Reed is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Peter Kyle is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Jess Phillips is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Keir Starmer is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Patrick Vallance is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Jo Stevens is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Jacqui Smith is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Ian Murray is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that James Murray is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Dan Jarvis is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Liz Kendall is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Rachel Reeves is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Darren Jones is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Catherine West is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that David Lammy is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Government of the UK report that Hilary Benn is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Shabana Mahmood is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Heidi Alexander is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Wes Streeting is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Lisa Nandy is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Bridget Phillipson is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Alan Campbell is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Pat McFadden is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Jonathan Reynolds is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Angela Rayner is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Yvette Cooper is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Louise Haigh is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that Ed Miliband is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will Government of the UK report that John Healey is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham? | kalshi | 2026-07-21 | 100% |
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxburnhamjul-26aug01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxburnhamjul-26aug01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxburnhamjul-26aug01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-KN36F36569",
"slug": "kxburnhamjul-26aug01",
"question": "Who will serve in Burnham's Cabinet in July 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"uk-politics",
"cabinet-positions",
"government-2026",
"burnham-administration",
"political-appointments"
],
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],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5562,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 54,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
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}