Will the top two vote-getters in the CA-40 primary advance to the general election? [ resolves 2026-06-09 (6D) ]
Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Calvert · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 99.9% | $4.3K | $19K | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…CAL | ||
| Young Kim · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 77.0% | $3.3K | $19K | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…KIM | ||
| Esther Kim Varet · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 16.0% | $535 | $3.9K | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…VAR | ||
| Lisa Ramirez · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.2% | — | $1 | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…RAM | ||
| Joe Kerr · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.1% | $2 | $15 | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…KER | ||
| Nina Linh · Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election? | 2026-06-09 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXCA40PRIMAR…LIN |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxca40primaryadvance-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxca40primaryadvance-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxca40primaryadvance-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
"slug": "kxca40primaryadvance-26",
"question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the CA-40 primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-primary",
"2027-election",
"ca-40-district",
"top-two-primary",
"house-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 41753,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}